Tuesday, October 30, 2018

A Look Back At The Chiefs Second Quarter Of The Season

  1. Patrick Mahomes is still tearing up the NFL, as he is on pace for over 5,000 yards passing and 52 touchdowns. In the second quarter of the season, he threw 12 touchdowns, six interceptions, and led the Chiefs to a 36.3 points per game average. The 6 interceptions are alarming and are definitely an area of Mahomes’ game to watch as the season continues. Mahomes has been a little riskier with the ball over the last four games, but I expect he will tone that down in the next quarter of the season. The 36.3 points per game is an oddity, because that is exactly what the Chiefs were averaging after the first quarter of the season too.

Monday, October 29, 2018

The Chiefs Defeated The Broncos Again

The Kansas City Chiefs once again stomped on the Denver Broncos’ hearts, defeating them 30-23 for their 7th consecutive win over the Broncos. This brings the Chiefs’ record to 7-1 and leaves them in control of their own destiny in the AFC. At the midway point of the season, the Chiefs’ offense still looks unstoppable scoring an average of 36.3 points per game and leading the NFL. The Chiefs much maligned defense is allowing 25.6 points per game which is 21st in the league. In this game, the Broncos were able to follow the script they wanted against the Chiefs but it just wasn’t enough.

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

An Early Look At Chiefs Versus Broncos "Round 2"

This Sunday in Arrowhead Stadium, the Kansas City Chiefs face an AFC West division rival, the Denver Broncos. This will be the second meeting of the season between the teams, with the Chiefs winning the first matchup in Denver 27-23. The Broncos played a good game against the Chiefs in that one and it took fourth quarter heroics from Patrick Mahomes to win the game for the Chiefs. It should be very interesting to see if the Broncos can hang with the Chiefs in Kansas City.

Monday, October 22, 2018

A Look At The Chiefs Dominating Victory Over The Bengals

The Kansas City Chiefs dominated the Cincinnati Bengals on both sides of the ball in route to a 45-10 victory in Arrowhead stadium Sunday night. The Chiefs hadn’t scored 45 points in a game since November 1, 2015 against the Detroit Lions. Under Andy Reid, the Chiefs had never accumulated at least 551 yards of offense which they did against the Bengals. The defense also shined, only allowing 239 total yards of offense, which is the fewest the Chiefs’ defense has allowed since the Jan 9, 2016 playoff win against the Houston Texans. Not to mention the fact that they held an offense that was averaging a hefty 26 points per game to just 10 points. Most importantly, this victory keeps the Chiefs on pace for home field advantage in the playoffs which looks like a deadly proposition for opponents

Saturday, October 20, 2018

How The 2018 Chiefs Offense Compares To The 2013 Broncos And 2007 Patriots

Updated Through Week 7
The Kansas City Chiefs have a phenomenal offense, through the first seven weeks of the season the Chiefs are on pace to score 594 points. This would be good for second all time with only the 2013 Broncos (606) scoring more points and just ahead of the 2007 Patriots (589). Both of those teams were able to make it to the Super Bowl, but neither one was able to win the game. I thought it would be fun to take a look at these three teams and see how they compare to each other.

Wednesday, October 17, 2018

An Early Look At The Jungle Visiting The Kingdom

This Sunday night in front of a roaring crowd at Arrowhead, the 5-1 Kansas City Chiefs will face the 4-2 Cincinnati Bengals. This is a match up between two of the top teams in the AFC so far, and it looks to be another high scoring game. The Chiefs come into this one scoring 35.8 points per game, second in the NFL, and allowing 28.7 points per game, which is 27th in the NFL. The Bengals average 29 points per game on offense, 6th in the league, and allow 26.3 points per game on defense, good for 23 in the NFL rankings. The Chiefs lost a close game to the Patriots last Sunday night and the Bengals also lost a close game to their division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers. So both teams are looking to bounce back in this game and re-solidify themselves in the AFC playoff race. If the Bengals and head coach Marvin Lewis want to defeat the Chiefs in Arrowhead, they will have to buck their trend of 8 consecutive losses on Sunday night football.

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

A Look Back At The Chiefs Performance Against The Patriots

The Kansas City Chiefs lost a close one Sunday Night 43-40 to the New England Patriots. The Chiefs started slow in this one and were trailing 24-9 going into halftime, on the heels of two Patrick Mahomes’ interceptions. Mahomes was able to get himself rolling in the second half, while the Chiefs put up 31 points on Bill Belichick’s defense in the final 30 minutes. This game goes in the loss column for the Chiefs, but it was a valuable stepping stone in the maturation of this 2018 Chiefs team and their/our quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

Thursday, October 11, 2018

A Look At The Kansas City Chiefs And New England Patriots Matchup

Sunday night, the Kansas City Chiefs play the New England Patriots in prime time. The Chiefs enter this game 5-0, with a 3-0 record on the road. The Patriots enter this game with a 3-2 record, but all three of their victories are at home in Foxborough. This should be a heck of a showdown for all of us fans, because we all know that the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes right through New England. So if Kansas City can go up there with all their injuries, after playing two tough games in a row and hand it to New England on their home field, then there is no doubt that Kansas City is the team to beat an AFC.

Before I jump straight into this Chiefs and Patriots match-up, I should update the injuries that the Chiefs sustained last week versus the Jaguars. On offense, the Chiefs lost starting right guard Laurent Duvernay-Tardif to a broken leg and some serious ligament damage in his ankle. The Chiefs went ahead and put LDT on inured reserve Tuesday, so he won’t be eligible to play for 8 weeks. The Chiefs also put rookie backup safety Armani Watts on IR Tuesday, and it is being reported that he will have surgery on a core muscle injury this week. Starting safety Eric Murray also twisted his ankle in last weekend's game and only played four snaps, so I’m not sure what his status will be for the Patriots game. The injuries at safety are all amplified by the fact that Chiefs’ All-Pro safety Eric Berry has yet to play this season.

The Chiefs also seem to be facing a lot of injuries at another important defensive position, outside linebacker. Justin Houston hurt his hamstring considerably in the Jaguars game and it sounds very unlikely that he plays this weekend. I've been seeing reports online saying that he's likely out for two to four weeks barring a substantial recovery. Of course, Dee Ford, the Chiefs’ other starting outside linebacker has been dealing with a groin injury, while back up Tanoh Kpassagnon has a twisted ankle. So the Chiefs have brought in two outside linebackers this week, and both will probably be active this weekend. One is a former Chiefs player, Frank Zombo, who is familiar with fans and this defense. The other player the Chiefs signed is Nate Orchard, who was a second round pick by the Cleveland Browns in 2015. He started 13 games over three seasons with the Browns before being cut earlier this year. Then he was signed by the Bills and played in 3 games for them before being cut. So he's somebody that does have a little bit of experience and he's young. So hopefully, especially after playing some games for the Bills this year, he should be in game shape if he has to play Sunday.

So this should be a big week for the Chiefs’ young safeties and outside linebackers. Jordan Lucas and Breeland Speaks both played good against the Jaguars after being pressed into a lot of action. But they were in a very isolated situation where they knew Jacksonville was going to be throwing non stop, so they didn't have a lot to think about or worry about. It will be interesting to see how they perform against this New England team that is hardly ever predictable on offense.

Patriots Passing Table
No. Player  G QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Lng Y/A AY/A Y/C Y/G Rate Sk Yds ANY/A
12Tom Brady53-2-012117967.61259126.763.4557.06.910.4251.896.16376.44
Team Total53-2-012117967.61259126.763.4557.06.910.4251.896.16376.44
Opp Total512619963.31314115.563.06.66.3510.4262.888.27545.9
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/11/2018.

The Patriots offense is, of course, led by Tom Brady who has been their starting quarterback for the last 18 years. Brady's got 12 touchdowns on the year, but he also has six picks because he was forcing passes early in the year. But Brady has thrown for over 1,200 yards and their offense has been starting to click a bit recently, especially last Thursday night against the Colts.

Patriots Backs Rushing & Receiving Table
Game RushRushRushRush ReceReceReceReceReceReceRece TotaTota
No. Player  Pos G Att Yds TD Lng Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Lng Ctch% Touch YScm RRTD Fmb
26Sony Michelrb46729423463186.001250.0%7031220
28James Whiterb52311012244322708.442772.7%5538050
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/11/2018.

At running back, they've got Sony Michel and James White. Michel is the running back who gets the carries and he's a tough runner who stays low to the ground. He also packs a little pop for being such a small guy, and he's got enough speed to break off some chunk plays. James White, on the other hand, should have the Chiefs’ linebackers attention in coverage. He is a great pass receiving running back and he actually leads their team in targets. The Chiefs have been very poor in coverage against backs, so this could be a big matchup to watch.

Patriots Receivers Table
Game ReceReceReceReceReceReceReceReceRece TotaTota
No. Player  Pos G Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Lng R/G Y/G Ctch% Touch YScm RRTD Fmb
84Cordarrelle Pattersonwr5141010110.12552.020.271.4%1513020
87Rob GronkowskiTE5312330813.41304.661.674.2%2330811
13Phillip Dorsettwr5241919010.02203.838.079.2%1919020
15Chris Hoganwr5191114313.02292.228.657.9%1114320
11Julian Edelmanwr197578.10137.057.077.8%75700
46James DevelinFB574225.50100.84.457.1%42200
10Josh Gordonwr2648220.51342.041.066.7%48210
47Jacob Hollisterwr2333511.70231.517.5100.0%33500
83Dwayne AllenTE521-4-4.00-40.2-0.850.0%1-400
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/11/2018.

New England still has some pretty good receivers too. The Patriots got Julian Edelman back from suspension last week, and he should be raring to go this week against the Chiefs. He had nine targets in his first game back and caught seven of those. So it didn't take long for him and Brady to get reacquainted. He's a good safety valve for Brady and that's something that Brady had been missing early in the season. So far this season, defenses have been able to kind of clamp down on Gronkowski, and the other Patriot receivers hadn't necessarily been able to make them pay, but that changes with Edelman being back.

The Patriots also traded for Josh Gordon from the Cleveland Browns a few weeks ago. Sadly for the Chiefs, Gordon started to seem like he was integrating well into the offense against the Colts last week. So he is someone the Chiefs are actually going to have to account for because he is a big, decently fast, deep threat that stretches the field. He's somebody that the Chiefs will probably have to lean help to his side of the field, or they could risk giving up a big play to him. I think that will really benefit the other receivers on this team in Chris Hogan, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Phillip Dorsett.

Dorsett was previously with the Colts and he's a flat out burner with 4.33 speed, so he can get open deep. He can make big plays down the field, but the one thing he can't do is catch the ball; he drops a lot of deep passes. But all he has to do is have one good game against the Chiefs and it can hurt them. Chris Hogan is reliable receiver with a lot of speed and he can also get open deep. Especially when he's the third or fourth option on an offense. Cordarrelle Patterson is more of gadget receiver who runs sweeps and has a select section of passing plays designed for him, because he is such a threat to take it to the house every time he touches the ball. At tight end the Patriots still have Rob Gronkowski, who's been battling some injuries, but has had 10 days to heal up for the Chiefs game. With all these other weapons finally available and starting to click on this New England offense Gronkowski should find his sledding a bit easier.

New England also has a very good offensive line. The three guys on the inside, Joe Thuney, David Andrews, and Shaq Mason are all exceptional. They've also got solid tackle play from Trent Brown and Marcus Cannon. Not to mention, that Brady gets rid of the ball extremely fast. This should be a very tough test for this Chiefs’ defense, and they're going to need to bring everything they have in this one. The Chiefs are going to be down some guys, they're going to be facing a tough, hostile crowd, and I believe that the Patriots are going to be out for blood in this game. Rob Gronkowski in an interview with the International Business Times said about the Chiefs,”They’re a great team. They got great players on each side of the ball. It’s gonna be a tough opponent next week. It’s gonna be a tough game. We gotta be ready mentally and physically. And we gotta prepare very well. It’s gonna be a big game. It’s gonna be the biggest game of the season for us. It’s Sunday Night Football so we gotta be ready and come hard.” It sounds like the Patriots want to make a statement against the Chiefs and they've had 10 days to prepare for this game. Bill Belichick has been embarrassed a couple times by Andy Reid in their last three games against each other, and I don't think Belichick is the type of guy who takes that real well. With the three extra days to prepare this week, I believe he'll have a little something for the Chiefs’ offense, and I'll talk about that a little bit later.

As far as the Patriots offense goes, it is much better than the Jaguars’ offense and it's not even worth comparing them to each other, not to mention that the Patriots’ offense is improving each week. So, as well as the Chiefs’ defense played against the Jaguars, I think the Chiefs are going to have a very hard time stopping New England from scoring a considerable amount of points. My hope in this game is that they can keep the Patriots to some field goals goals and keep them from scoring a lot of touchdowns, which had been a little bit of a problem for the Chiefs until this last week. They've been having a hard time stopping teams in the red zone and that's going to be very important for this week. I could see Bill Belichick trying to run the ball down the Chiefs throat, hitting some quick passes, and using some play action to get the ball down the field.

He's got Sony Michel at running back, who is kind of small making him hard to find behind the line of scrimmage and he's got good top speed. He is a little bit like Philip Lindsay of the Broncos, who gave the Chiefs a lot of trouble a couple weeks ago. Then there is James White and Julian Edelman, who should both get quite a few of those quick pass targets in this game. If the Chiefs do try to stop the run and quick passes, there are still a lot passing weapons that Brady can find down the field. The Chiefs are going to be just the second team behind the Colts to really face all of what New England really has on offense this year.

Patriots Team Stats and Rankings Table
Tot Tot Tot PassPassPassPassPassPassPass RushRushRushRushRush PenaPena AverAverAverAverAver
Player PF Yds Ply Y/P TO FL 1stD Cmp Att Yds TD Int NY/A 1stD Att Yds TD Y/A 1stD Pen Yds Sc% TO% Start Time Plays Yds Pts
Team Stats13317873225.59310512117912221266.66313756544.1342620639.713.8Own 30.02:305.7130.82.29
Opp. Stats10818303365.410411012619912601166.17413057014.4293330933.316.7Own 30.02:355.830.31.80
Lg Rank Offense9222316231921422141113131891182423227
Lg Rank Defense91675242514257818212212462513191410
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/11/2018.

Right now the Patriots’ defense is ranked ninth in the league in points allowed, which is the same as the Patriots offense, but it's not necessarily a scary defense. They haven't been getting sacks and they haven't been getting enough turnovers. The Patriots have actually been turning the ball over more on offense and have not been creating enough turnovers to make up for it which probably has a lot to do with their 3-2 record so far. The Chiefs’ offense should present a lot of matchup problems for this Patriots’ defense, just like every defense in the NFL, because of all their team speed. I do believe that Belichick will try to have a masterful defensive game plan for this game. He's had extra time to prepare and I think he's had this game circled since before the start of the season. The Chiefs are their biggest rival in the AFC this year, and he's been embarrassed in recent matchups against Andy Reid.

Patriots Sacks , QB Hits Table
Game Tack
No. Player  Age Pos G Sk QBHits
91Deatrich Wise2452.56
94Adrian Clayborn30de55
93Lawrence Guy28DT54
98Trey Flowers25DE42.04
54Dont'a Hightower28LB52
53Kyle Van Noy27LB51
23Patrick Chung31S40.51
51Ja'Whaun Bentley22de/lb31
90Malcom Brown24de/DT51
70Adam Butler2451.01
71Danny Shelton2551
51John Simon2821.01
58Keionta Davis24de31
Team Total27.25729
Opp Total56
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/11/2018.

This Patriots’ defense doesn't get a lot of pressure and they haven’t got many sacks this year. They do have two guys who are decent pass rushers in Trey flowers and Dietrich Wise, so those are two guys to watch out for. But I don't think that's going to be the Patriots plan this week. I don't think they're going to bring much pressure. Instead, I feel like they're going to drop quite a few guys back in coverage. Mahomes has been pressured a lot this season and he's handled that extremely well. The Patriots just don't have the horses on defense to play the Chiefs like the Broncos and Jaguars did. I believe that Belichick is going to drop a lot of guys in the coverage and dare the Chiefs to run the football, hoping to slow the Chiefs’ offense down. If this happens, I hope that Reid runs the ball a ton showing all the NFL teams watching that the Chiefs can beat them just as easily on the ground as in the air, even with LDT out with injury. The Chiefs should still be able to pass the ball efficiently enough against this extra coverage with Mahomes gun right arm. I do expect Belichick to show a lot of different looks to Patrick Mahomes, disguising his coverages. I expect him to show zone but play man and show man but play zone. Especially when the Chiefs like to motion Tyreek Hill across the field and Kareem Hunt out of the backfield, basically just to get the defense to show what coverage they're in. Once Mahomes knows the coverage, then he knows what his reads are, but what teams can do is basically show fake coverages presnap. They can have somebody follow Hill all the way across the field, so it looks like man but then still drop into a zone. There's a lot of different things that can be disguised, but the whole point is just to get Mahomes to screw up the first time he reads this coverage.

There are going to be a lot of mind games between Mahomes, Reid, and Bill Belichick. This should be a fantastic mental challenge for Patrick Mahomes on the road. I wouldn't be shocked if the Patriots shake up our offense a couple times in this game, but nobody is going to stop this Chiefs team much. I don't think the Patriots are a team that's even going to slow them down a lot. But honestly, the Patriots don't have to slow down the Chiefs a lot to win this game, because the Patriots can score some points. The Chiefs just need to continue playing sound football and winning the turnover margin, not giving this Patriots’ offense any extra chances. The Patriots can’t match us on offense, but they can get about as close as anybody can. I think there is one thing Patriots fans are oblivious to and it could well be the difference in the game.

No, I am not going to pick against the Chiefs until they lose one this season. I know that the Chiefs have to lose eventually, but I'm just not gonna let that touch my lips until after it happens. So I'm going to pick the Kansas City Chiefs over the New England Patriots 35 to 34 in Foxborough. Patrick Mahomes will lead a comeback on the final drive, scoring a touchdown to give the Chiefs the victory and that would be sweet. Tom Brady will have to watch from the sideline as the new young quarterback steals his soul. Hopefully the Chiefs can pull this one out and head into to another Sunday Night Football game against the Bengals in Arrowhead undefeated. Go Chiefs!

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